Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.584553 0.663933 0.748738 0.845921 0.954049 1.070493 1.205215
2025-08-24 0.468065 0.579227 0.706902 0.863710 1.050383 1.264737 1.528699
2025-08-31 0.373809 0.501416 0.658185 0.863306 1.122773 1.438066 1.847949
2025-09-07 0.311345 0.450106 0.631467 0.882750 1.218260 1.646712 2.230437
2025-09-14 0.254281 0.395077 0.590276 0.875668 1.276248 1.811498 2.572211
2025-09-21 0.215949 0.358745 0.567758 0.888623 1.359598 2.014627 2.980650
2025-09-28 0.178613 0.316936 0.530407 0.873874 1.399939 2.159672 3.319377
2025-10-05 0.159651 0.300335 0.527792 0.908997 1.514588 2.417623 3.836675
2025-10-12 0.143574 0.285530 0.525348 0.942869 1.628925 2.682393 4.382104
2025-10-19 0.125379 0.263731 0.507960 0.949502 1.699458 2.884368 4.845504
2025-10-26 0.109495 0.243292 0.489759 0.951763 1.761565 3.075901 5.303787
2025-11-02 0.095609 0.224182 0.471062 0.950276 1.815900 3.257138 5.755720
2025-11-09 0.083819 0.207441 0.454823 0.951823 1.876366 3.454276 6.249795
2025-11-16 0.074313 0.193821 0.442682 0.959353 1.947632 3.674029 6.795288
2025-11-23 0.064633 0.177959 0.423773 0.951427 1.989412 3.845333 7.269131
2025-11-30 0.058395 0.168928 0.417696 0.967910 2.077619 4.103030 7.906386
2025-12-07 0.050856 0.155194 0.399510 0.957352 2.112486 4.266824 8.387923
2025-12-14 0.045905 0.147083 0.392642 0.969564 2.192567 4.517497 9.038099
2025-12-21 0.039741 0.134399 0.373363 0.952540 2.211898 4.655676 9.491131
2025-12-28 0.037420 0.132026 0.378300 0.989725 2.345372 5.017625 10.375880
2026-01-04 0.035212 0.129543 0.382604 1.025778 2.479005 5.387315 11.293829
2026-01-11 0.031797 0.122659 0.374803 1.032643 2.550505 5.639423 12.001543
2026-01-18 0.028565 0.115614 0.365548 1.034905 2.611835 5.874456 12.687964